Richard Duncan with his four books: The Dollar Crisis, The Corruption of Capitalism, The New Depression, and The Money Revolution. Image titled Richard Duncan’s Economic Philosophy.

My Economic Philosophy: Free Video

Several months ago, I conducted an experiment using the Deep Research function in Gemini, Google’s AI model. I gave it just…

Posted November 12, 2026
What If Anthropic's IPO Fails? White and red lettering on a black background highlighting the risks of a failed Anthropic IPO.

What If Anthropic’s IPO Fails?

Could the failure of one IPO trigger a stock market crash and a severe recession? Anthropic, one of the world’s…

Posted October 29, 2026
MACRO WATCH
DAILY BRIEFING
November 12, 2026

Nvidia Crisis Deepens as AI Markets Rebound

Nvidia's board is reportedly considering replacing Jensen Huang, introducing leadership uncertainty at one of the world's most important AI companies as technology stocks recover.
China's trade surplus reached $1.04 trillion in the first ten months of 2026, supported by strong technology exports despite weak domestic demand.
SoftBank's $3.7 billion equipment-related charge raises questions about AI infrastructure commitments, while Siemens Energy's record profits demonstrate the enormous industrial demand generated by data center investment.

Three developments are shaping the outlook for the global economy and financial markets this morning.

First, Nvidia's board is reportedly considering removing CEO Jensen Huang following allegations concerning his personal relationships, including one involving a woman suspected of working for Chinese intelligence.

Nvidia's shares declined sharply in after-hours trading, creating uncertainty surrounding the leadership of one of the world's most important technology companies.

Second, US financial markets staged a strong recovery Wednesday, led by AI-related shares. CoreWeave surged nearly 25% after management reassured investors about its financing arrangements and ability to service its substantial debt.

America’s $10 Trillion AI Bet. Gold and black casino chips symbolizing America’s enormous investment in artificial intelligence, against a backdrop of rising financial charts.

America’s $10 Trillion AI Bet

America is embarking on what could become the largest investment boom in history. And the stakes could hardly be higher.…

Posted October 15, 2026
Richard Duncan with his four economics books, promoting The Wealth Elevator Podcast with Lane Kawaoka.

Interview: From Creditism to Cognitism — The Next Economic Revolution

I recently joined Lane Kawaoka on The Wealth Elevator Podcast to discuss how our economic system has evolved since the…

Posted October 11, 2026

Other Recent Blog Posts

The Road to 7% Yields and a Stock Market Crash, showing AI buildout, military spending and US reindustrialization driving interest rates higher.

The Road to 7% Yields and a Stock Market Crash

Posted September 27, 2026

The yield on the 10-year US government bond surged above 5.2% last week, reaching its highest level since 2007. That move has major implications for

Continue Reading

Higher oil prices, inflation, and interest rates illustrated with a diesel pump, oil refinery, rising Treasury yield chart, and the headline “Higher Oil. Higher Inflation. Higher Rates.”

The Fed Had To Raise Rates To Stop Rates From Rising

Posted September 18, 2026

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates this week. At first glance, the reason seems obvious: inflation is too high. But I believe something much more

Continue Reading

Interview: The New Economic Era

Posted September 15, 2026

I recently joined Keith Weinhold on the Get Rich Education podcast to discuss some of the biggest forces reshaping the global economy today. We talked about the

Continue Reading

Industrial shredder destroying Japanese yen, symbolizing the Bank of Japan’s quantitative tightening and its risks to global financial markets.

Japan’s Monetary Reversal Could Wipe Out Trillions

Posted September 3, 2026

For more than 25 years, the Bank of Japan conducted the most radical monetary experiment the world had ever seen. Now, the BOJ is reversing

Continue Reading

Cracking yen symbol bound by snapping cables above Tokyo and falling global market charts, representing the risk of a yen carry-trade unwind.

Japan Could Shake Global Markets Again

Posted August 21, 2026

Is the Yen Carry Trade About to Unwind? During the first days of August 2024, the yen appreciated by approximately 13%. That helped trigger an

Continue Reading

Free Video: The Defense Industry Is Being Reinvented

Posted July 31, 2026

I have just published a new seven-minute video, The Defense Industry Is Being Reinvented. It is free for everyone to watch, and I highly recommend it.

Continue Reading

Deficits, Bubbles, China, Defense, and AI – Macro Watch

FREE VIDEO: Deficits, Bubbles, China, Defense, And AI — A Framework for Understanding the World Today

Posted July 23, 2026

This Macro Watch video is free for everyone to watch. You do not need to be a Macro Watch subscriber. Over the last several months,

Continue Reading

Massive AI infrastructure construction in the United States showing data centers, electrical substations, transmission lines, and semiconductor manufacturing facilities supporting the AI arms race.

The AI Arms Race Has Begun

Posted July 9, 2026

Artificial intelligence is rapidly becoming the most important military technology of our age. The country that masters AI first will dominate the rest of this

Continue Reading

Image showing a rocket launch, military drones, a stealth aircraft, and defense command screens with the title The Silicon Valley Challengers.

The Silicon Valley Challengers

Posted June 25, 2026

The US defense industry is being transformed. For decades, the Pentagon relied mainly on a small group of large defense contractors to build America’s most

Continue Reading

Collage featuring fighter aircraft, naval shipbuilding, missile production, and a submarine representing America’s traditional defense contractors.

The Titans of Traditional Defense

Posted June 11, 2026

America is entering a new era of rearmament. President Trump has called for $1.5 trillion of defense spending in fiscal year 2027, a dramatic increase

Continue Reading

Subscribe to Macro Watch

Stay Ahead of the Markets – Subscribe to Macro Watch!
Gain expert insights into the new forces shaping the economy and financial markets in the 21st century.

Subscribe to Macro Watch Sign Up for Richard's Free Blog Get the FREE Macro Watch Daily Briefing
Top