Category Archives: Economics in the Age of Fiat Money

September 25, 2016

The Policy Response To The New Depression – Highly Recommended

Below, please find the last chapter of the paperback version of my first book, The Dollar Crisis.  It was written in December 2004, four years before the beginning of the global economic crisis and the launch of Quantitative Easing. THE DOLLAR CRISIS:  Chapter 20 BERNANKEISM ANTICIPATING THE POLICY RESPONSE TO DEFLATION The Fed would already…
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September 22, 2016

The Outlook For Interest Rates: Trumpthing Could Go Terribly Wrong

Asset prices and the economy are being held up by ultra low interest rates in the United States and around the world. If interest rates now begin to rise significantly, asset prices will crash and the economy will sink into a deep recession – or worse. An inflation shock would have catastrophic consequences, as it…
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September 9, 2016

The Prospects For Asset Prices: 2017

The new Macro Watch video uploaded today considers the outlook for equities, bonds/interest rates, property prices, commodities and currencies. Topics include: Important lessons from the last two stock market corrections Will the Fed hike interest rates? If so, what will be the impact on each of the major asset classes? Where will the S&P 500…
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August 26, 2016

Last Year’s Very Dangerous Moment: Watch Free Video

Last year at this time, the financial markets were gripped by panic following a surprise devaluation of the Chinese Yuan. At that time, I uploaded a video called, The Prospects For Asset Prices: A Very Dangerous Moment, in which I shared my views on the outlook for stocks, bonds, property, commodities and currencies. Please find…
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August 6, 2016

Libertarian Murray Rothbard Was Dangerously Wrong

In 1963, Murray Rothbard published a book called America’s Great Depression, in which he argued that President Herbert Hoover made the Great Depression worse by introducing too many government policies to support the economy, when “the proper injunction to government in a depression is cut the budget and leave the economy strictly alone.” Although considered…
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July 30, 2016

Frank Answers To Tough Questions: Free McAlvany Podcast

I strongly recommend that you listen to this free podcast. My friend David McAlvany interviewed me for the highly respected McAlvany Weekly Commentary a few days ago. It was a great  conversation. He asked me a series of excellent, tough questions. You will find many of my answers more frank than usual – in part,…
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July 17, 2016

The World Is $300 Trillion In Debt

Credit growth has been the driver of economic growth for decades. That was the theme of my third book, The New Depression, and the subject of numerous Macro Watch videos since then. Up until now, my work has always focused on credit growth in the United States. In the latest Macro Watch video, uploaded today,…
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June 13, 2016

China’s Economic Crisis, Part 4: One World Is Not Enough

China’s economy is freakishly unbalanced. Investment (Gross Fixed Capital Formation) makes up 44% of China’s GDP, whereas Household Consumption makes up only 38% of GDP. For the world as a whole, Investment makes up just 24% of global GDP, while Household Consumption makes up 57%. Perhaps not since the Pharaohs built the Pyramids with slave…
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June 1, 2016

China’s Economic Crisis, Part 3: The Risks Of Chinese QE

China’s economic growth engine is fuelled by extraordinarily large amounts of credit. In 2015, it took RMB 15.4 trillion (US$2.4 trillion) of credit growth to generate RMB 4.1 trillion (US$631 billion) of economic growth. In this video, the third in a series on the economic crisis now unfolding in China, we consider how much new…
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May 15, 2016

China’s Economic Crisis: Part 2, The Colossal Boom (1990 – 2014)

Chinese Investment increased 50-fold between 1990 and 2014. Investment (i.e. Gross Fixed Capital Formation or GFCF) in China grew from US$92 billion in 1990 to US$4.6 trillion in 2014. During the last 25 years in China: The Gross Output Value of Construction increased by 134 times, growing at an average annual rate of 21%. Building…
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May 6, 2016

Macro Voices Podcast: Highly Recommended

I highly recommend you listen to this free MacroVoices podcast.  It explains the real origins of our global economic crisis.  It also describes how the crisis is likely to play out during the years ahead. Richard Duncan: What the history of monetary policy tells us about our future Erik Townsend welcomes Richard Duncan to MacroVoices….
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May 2, 2016

The China Crisis Series (Part One)

China’s economy resembles a spinning top that is running out of momentum. It is wobbling and gyrating erratically.   A stock market crash, diminishing returns on credit, a plunge in imports, capital flight and currency volatility are all signs that China’s great economic boom is now coming to an end. In all probability, this is just…
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April 25, 2016

America’s Future: When’s The Day Of Reckoning?

This interview was conducted by Andrew Mazzone, President of the Henry George School of Social Science.  Click on the link below to watch the video. Here are some of the topics we discussed: What caused the global economic crisis? Was the crisis the result of a plan or did it just happen by chance? What…
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April 18, 2016

Our Economic and Political Problems Look Set To Multiply

Seven years of weak credit growth in the US have brought the world to the brink of a deflationary global recession. As a result, political instability is increasing and geopolitical tensions are on the rise. In the new Macro Watch video, uploaded today, we first consider why the increase in debt in the United States…
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April 8, 2016

Analyzing The Central Banks: Watch Free Video

The Central Banks have become the most powerful players in the global economy in recent years. Consequently, since its launch in 2013, Macro Watch has published a series of videos that analyze central bank policy. Please find them listed below, each with a brief description. Macro Watch subscribers may find this list helpful in indentifying…
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April 1, 2016

ECB Policy: Everything You Need To Know

Do you want to understand what the European Central Bank is doing and why it is doing it? I have just uploaded two Macro Watch videos that will explain everything you need to know about the ECB. The first video describes the credit boom that caused the economic crisis in the Eurozone in the first…
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