Category Archives: Economics in the Age of Fiat Money

April 20, 2017

The Return Of Crowding Out Threatens Your Wealth

It has long been understood that when the government borrows excessively, it pushes up interest rates and Crowds Out the private sector. Before the breakdown of the Bretton Woods International Monetary System, money was backed by gold. Consequently, there was only a limited amount of it and governments had no power to create any more….
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April 10, 2017

The Credit Structure Of The United States And Its Vulnerabilities

It is not possible to understand an economy without understanding how that economy is financed. In the latest Macro Watch video, we examine the credit structure of the United States and we explore its vulnerabilities. We see who has lent the $66 trillion that has been borrowed in the United States. We also consider the…
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March 28, 2017

Creditism In Crisis

Our economic system changed in a fundamental way when we stopped backing Dollars with Gold.  That change removed the most important constraint on how much credit could be created. Afterwards, credit growth became THE driver of economic growth. Over the last 53 years, Credit in the United States has expanded 66-fold to $66 trillion. And…
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March 10, 2017

Beware A Stronger Dollar

When the Dollar appreciated by 22% between June 2014 and March 2015, commodity prices fell, emerging markets suffered, world trade contracted, US corporate profits fell and US stocks stalled. There are reasons to believe that another significant round of Dollar appreciation has begun. In the latest Macro Watch video we weigh the factors supporting a…
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March 2, 2017

The Factors Driving And Constraining US Economic Growth

For any economy to grow, one or more of the following things must occur: 1) The Workforce must grow, 2) Wages must increase, 3) Credit must expand and/or 4) Wealth must grow. In the latest Macro Watch video we look at each of these growth drivers and consider the constraints they will impose on economic…
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February 12, 2017

My Warning To Some Of The World’s Largest Investment Managers

I’ve just returned from a couple of very interesting weeks in the United States. In mid-January, I had the opportunity to meet Alan Greenspan and to ask him a question that I believe is of historic importance. That was the subject of the Macro Watch video uploaded on January 25th. Two weeks later, I was…
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December 30, 2016

What Did You Miss In Q4?

  Three videos on the policies President Trump should and should not adopt, two videos on Derivatives Reform (or, rather, the lack thereof) one video on Credit and a free chapter from The Corruption Of Capitalism.   Six New Videos   A Recipe For Disaster December 15, 2016 It is too early to know if…
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December 13, 2016

Trump’s Recipe For Disaster

The global economic bubble came very close to collapsing into a new Great Depression in 2008. That disaster was prevented by ultra loose Monetary Policy. Central banks slashed short-term interest rates to very close to 0% and then “printed” trillions of dollars worth of new money and used it to buy financial assets. That strategy…
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November 30, 2016

Voodoo Economics? Voodoo Two Won’t Do

Voodoo Economics, the combination of tax cuts and increased military spending, worked for President Reagan, but would it work for President Trump? The latest Macro Watch video argues that it might in the short run, but that the risks those policies pose to the economy and to investors are much greater now than they were…
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November 22, 2016

An Open Letter To President-elect Trump. Watch Free Video

An open letter – and video – to President-elect Trump outlining how to make America’s economy great again. No password is required to watch this video.  Please share this blog on social media. Click here to watch. Dear Mr. President, You can make America’s economy great again. Here’s how: INVEST, Mr. President – not only…
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October 6, 2016

Weak And Vulnerable

The US economy remains weak and vulnerable. The new Macro Watch video explains why. The economy is weak because credit growth remains too sluggish to drive the economy as it did in the past. With interest rates near record low levels, credit should be expanding much more quickly than it is. In this video, we…
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September 30, 2016

What Did You Miss In Q3?

Macro Watch covered a lot of important topics during the third quarter. Please check the list below to make sure you haven’t missed anything. Free For Everyone (no password required) Two Podcasts The Evolution Of The International Monetary System, 1914 to 2016: Free Podcast https://www.richardduncaneconomics.com/the-evolution-of-the-international-monetary-system-1914-to-2016-free-podcast/   Frank Answers To Tough Questions: Free McAlvany Podcast https://www.richardduncaneconomics.com/frank-answers-to-tough-questions-free-mcalvany-podcast/…
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September 25, 2016

The Policy Response To The New Depression – Highly Recommended

Below, please find the last chapter of the paperback version of my first book, The Dollar Crisis.  It was written in December 2004, four years before the beginning of the global economic crisis and the launch of Quantitative Easing. THE DOLLAR CRISIS:  Chapter 20 BERNANKEISM ANTICIPATING THE POLICY RESPONSE TO DEFLATION The Fed would already…
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September 22, 2016

The Outlook For Interest Rates: Trumpthing Could Go Terribly Wrong

Asset prices and the economy are being held up by ultra low interest rates in the United States and around the world. If interest rates now begin to rise significantly, asset prices will crash and the economy will sink into a deep recession – or worse. An inflation shock would have catastrophic consequences, as it…
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September 9, 2016

The Prospects For Asset Prices: 2017

The new Macro Watch video uploaded today considers the outlook for equities, bonds/interest rates, property prices, commodities and currencies. Topics include: Important lessons from the last two stock market corrections Will the Fed hike interest rates? If so, what will be the impact on each of the major asset classes? Where will the S&P 500…
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August 26, 2016

Last Year’s Very Dangerous Moment: Watch Free Video

Last year at this time, the financial markets were gripped by panic following a surprise devaluation of the Chinese Yuan. At that time, I uploaded a video called, The Prospects For Asset Prices: A Very Dangerous Moment, in which I shared my views on the outlook for stocks, bonds, property, commodities and currencies. Please find…
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